KI
Kenvue Inc. (KVUE)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 2025 delivered mixed results: Net sales declined 4.0% year-over-year to $3.839B, while adjusted diluted EPS was $0.29; management cut full-year guidance and emphasized execution under a new interim CEO and CFO .
- Versus consensus, EPS modestly beat and revenue slightly missed: EPS $0.29 vs $0.284*, Revenue $3.839B vs $3.853B*, driven by weak allergy and sun seasons, inventory fluctuations, and shipment timing in China; strategic price investments reduced price/mix by 0.9% .
- Guidance reset: FY25 net sales and organic sales now expected down low-single-digits, adjusted operating margin to decline YoY, and adjusted diluted EPS $1.00–$1.05 (including a low-single-digit FX headwind) .
- Catalysts: ongoing strategic alternatives review, leadership changes (Interim CEO Kirk Perry; CFO Amit Banati), and a dividend increase to $0.2075 per share (+1.2%) .
Values with * are from S&P Global consensus estimates.
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Adjusted EPS improved sequentially: $0.29 in Q2 vs $0.24 in Q1, supported by savings from “Our Vue Forward” and phasing of brand support .
- Operating leverage improved YoY on GAAP: operating margin rose to 18.0% from 3.9% due to lapping prior-year non-cash impairments .
- Management emphasis on execution and portfolio optimization: “We are actively focused on improving execution and performance…to accelerate profitable growth” — Interim CEO Kirk Perry .
What Went Wrong
- Top-line softness: Organic sales down 4.2% with volume -3.3% and price/mix -0.9%, reflecting weak allergy and sun seasons in North America, inventory fluctuations, and shipment timing in China .
- Margin headwinds: Adjusted gross margin declined 70 bps YoY to 60.9% on unfavorable mix, FX, inflation, and strategic price investments .
- Outlook lowered: FY25 net sales and organic sales now down low-single-digits and adjusted operating margin to decline YoY; adjusted EPS cut to $1.00–$1.05 .
Financial Results
Quarterly Financials vs Prior Periods and Consensus
Values with * are from S&P Global consensus estimates.
Segment Net Sales and Adjusted Operating Income (Q2 2025 vs Q2 2024)
Organic Sales Drivers (Q2 2025 YoY)
KPIs and Operating Details
GAAP-to-Non-GAAP Adjustments (Q2 2025)
- Adjusted operating income reconciled from $692MM GAAP with $178MM of adjustments: amortization of intangibles $64MM, restructuring $60MM, operating model optimization $8MM, separation-related $30MM, Deferred Markets impacts and tax effects; yielding adjusted operating income $870MM and adjusted operating margin 22.7% .
- Adjusted diluted EPS: $0.22 GAAP plus net adjustments (e.g., restructuring $0.04, amortization $0.03, separation $0.01, tax impact -$0.01) to $0.29 .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We are actively focused on improving execution and performance, while advancing the comprehensive strategic alternatives review, to deliver our inherent value” — Kirk Perry, Interim CEO .
- “We are adjusting our outlook for 2025…While current results do not reflect the Company’s full potential, I am confident that we are taking the appropriate actions to deliver sustainable value” — Amit Banati, CFO .
- Leadership updates: Kirk Perry appointed Interim CEO (effective July 14, 2025); new APAC Group President; new Chief Technology & Data Officer announced .
Q&A Highlights
- The full Q2 2025 earnings call transcript could not be retrieved due to a document issue; Q&A details will be updated once accessible. Webcast logistics are available (Aug 7, 2025, 8:30 a.m. ET) .
Estimates Context
- EPS: Actual $0.29 vs consensus $0.284*; modest beat amid margin phasing and productivity savings .
- Revenue: Actual $3.839B vs consensus $3.853B*; slight miss driven by seasonality, inventory, and China shipment timing .
- Implications: Street likely lowers FY25 revenue and margin assumptions in line with guidance reset; adjusted EPS range $1.00–$1.05 frames downside vs prior “flat to +2%” outlook .
Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Actual vs Consensus (Q2 2025)
Values with * are from S&P Global consensus estimates.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Guidance reset is the key narrative: FY25 net sales/organic sales now down low-single-digits, adjusted operating margin to decline, EPS cut to $1.00–$1.05 — expect estimate revisions and potential multiple compression until execution improves .
- Near-term top-line visibility is challenged by seasonality and channel dynamics (inventory/shipment timing), particularly in North America and China; watch Self Care volume trends into fall/winter .
- Margin trajectory supported by productivity and “Our Vue Forward,” but unfavorable mix, inflation, FX, and strategic price investments are meaningful offsets — monitor gross margin stabilization vs Q2 levels .
- Strategic alternatives review and portfolio optimization are potential upside catalysts; leadership changes (Interim CEO, new CFO, new CTO) signal operational focus and possible portfolio actions .
- Dividend increase (+1.2%) underscores commitment to capital returns despite lowered outlook; balance sheet shows $1.1B cash and $8.6B debt (net debt ~$7.5B) — maintain watch on leverage vs cash generation .
- Trading lens: Expect near-term volatility tied to estimate cuts and strategic review headlines; positioning may favor a wait-and-see into seasonally stronger Self Care period and potential strategic actions .
- Medium-term thesis: Execution on productivity/digital investments (Microsoft partnership, new CTO) and portfolio optimization could re-rate margins and growth; proof points needed in H2 2025 .